League Projections - The BuRP Method

The Duffman is here with his projections for the 2008 SJJL season, oh yeah! These projections are based on the top 15 hitters as well as the pitching adjusted to 1800 IP. Obviously, the pitching isn't that easy to project so I tried to maximize the innings to the more probable pitchers (closers and good starters and relievers) while lessening impact of the more fringe pitches for those projected to go well over 1800 IP. These projections are based on Com.com, PECOTA, and ESPN mainly with some assistance from Sporting News and Fangraphs.

And the winner is...

Team-------------Total Points
1. Christian------98
2. Powell---------87
3. Chris-----------80
4. Tim------------71.5
5. Albaugh-------69
6. Hanley--------64
7. Jason----------64
8. Craig----------62
9. Gintz----------57.5
10. Tracy--------50.5
11. Woodhouse-45.5
12. Morten------31

...Christian?! What the Willie Bloomquist?!

In comparing it to Craig's, it's interesting to note that we have the same top 5 (albeit in different orders), Gintz in the same spot at 9 (no love for the Gintz dawg), and Morten bringing up the rear. The numbers make it seem like there's a big gap towards the front end of the rankings, but most categories were very close so it wouldn't take much to see anyone of the top 5 plummet in the rankings or one of the middle (Hanley, Craig, or Gintz especially) job up to the top.

I'll try to post some more detailed stuff later, including a "spring training" report on each of the divisions.